In the process of tunnel construction,the tunnel is need for regular monitoring. Taking Ma yuanli tunnel of Hu- Kun High Speed Railway as an example,this paper introduces the basic theory of grey model by using the traditional GM( 1,1) grey model and improved GM( 1,1) grey model methods,and analysis prediction effect of two model. The results show that the accuracy of the improved GM( 1,1) grey model is higher than the accuracy of the traditional GM( 1,1) grey model,and the improved GM( 1,1) gre...