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Dynamic Blurry Evaluation Model of Complex Risk of the Super-huge Engineering Project Based on Game Theory

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成果类型:
会议论文
作者:
Wu, Gao*
通讯作者:
Wu, Gao
作者机构:
[Wu, Gao; Wu, G] Hunan City Univ, Dept City Management, Yiyang 413000, Hunan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Wu, Gao] H
Hunan City Univ, Dept City Management, Yiyang 413000, Hunan, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
the super-huge type project;complex risk;dynamic and blurry evaluation;behavioral game-playing;value preference
期刊:
2014 FIFTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS DESIGN AND ENGINEERING APPLICATIONS (ISDEA)
年:
2014
页码:
434-437
会议名称:
5th International Conference on Intelligent Systems Design and Engineering Applications (ISDEA)
会议时间:
JUN 15-16, 2014
会议地点:
Zhangjiajie, PEOPLES R CHINA
会议主办单位:
Hunan City Univ, Dept City Management, Yiyang 413000, Hunan, Peoples R China.
会议赞助商:
Xian Shiyou Univ, Hunan Inst Engn, Cent S Univ, St Johns Univ, Natl Univ Defense Technol, Dept Elect Sci & Technol
出版地:
345 E 47TH ST, NEW YORK, NY 10017 USA
出版者:
IEEE
ISBN:
978-1-4799-4262-6
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
管理学院
摘要:
This paper emphasis that to evaluate the complex risk about super-huge type project, we should not only think about the probability and valuable influence of risk, but also put in factors of the main body's value preference and dynamic game playing. Thus method makes the evaluation has more rational behavioral base. Firstly, this paper analyses the characteristic of the risk evaluation and game-playing feature in the process of risk development. Secondly, it builds evaluation index system and the dynamic and blurry evaluation model for the risks. Thirdly, it tests and amends the important para...

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